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Drop Rate For Legendary Axe & Evoker Weapon Datamined – Guaranteed After 15 Kills

The Drop Rate for the most anticipated Legendary Weapons in Dragonflight have been revealed! Our friends over on Wowhead have datamined some string changes and summarized them as the current Drop Chance for these Legendaries.
Home » Dragonflight » Drop Rate For Legendary Axe & Evoker Weapon Datamined – Guaranteed After 15 Kills

Drop Rate For Legendary Axe & Evoker Weapon Datamined – Guaranteed After 15 Kills

The Drop Rate for the most anticipated Legendary Weapons in Dragonflight have been revealed! Our friends over on Wowhead have datamined some string changes and summarized them as the current Drop Chance for these Legendaries.
Disclaimers
  1. This data is not labeled. There’s no “Legendary Drop Rate” tag, but based on multiple factors, we assume that this is related to the Nas’zuro Bad Luck Protection (BLP). This could not be related, but we do think it is.
  2. We don’t know if there’s an additional base drop percentage and what it is, if it exists.
  3. Curve data is a set of points and we are assuming a linear interpolation, but we don’t know for sure.

While some of this is likely still inaccurate due to missing drop %s, there are a couple of main takeaways that will be useful to know for players.

You can also check out the official post on Wowhead.

In Wowheads official post they quote:

Two nights ago, at ~9:40 PST. Blizzard announced that Bad Luck Protection on the 2H Axe Legendary,  Fyr’alath the Dreamrender was buffed. As mentioned here, we believe that most of the hotfixes to the Curves were for the Greater and Lesser Embers of Fyr’alath. However, there were also hotfixes for 2 more Curves. These Curves were actually added in Patch 10.1.5, but look oddly similarly to what we think are the Fyr’alath Curves.

Since the increased amount of Drop Chance, that we also reported here, Wowhead took it on themself and compared the newly imported, but encrypted strings and came up with the following conclusion.

Beware that Blizzard has never announced an official Drop Rate for these Legendary Weapon, and this all has been datamined by Wowhead.

Evoker Legendary - Nasz'uro, the Unbound Legacy

If these plots are related to the legendary and they work how we think they work, these are some of the most important conclusions:

  • The Drop Rate on LFR and Normal is unknown. If the Fyr’alath Legendary is any indication, it’s very low.
  • On your 41st Heroic (or higher) Sarkareth kill after BLP was available (10.1.5 launch), you will get  Nasz’uro, the Unbound Legacy guaranteed.
  • On your 7th Mythic Sarkareth kill after BLP was available (10.1.5 launch), you now will get  Nasz’uro, the Unbound Legacy guaranteed.

There were 18 weeks between the release of Patch 10.1.5 (when BLP started) and Amidrassil released. If you killed Heroic Sark every week since BLP launched and haven’t touched it since Amirdrassil, you would start on Row 18 for Heroic — now 47.5% (was 28%).

# of Previous Sarkareth KillsHeroicMythic
 NewOldNewOld
00%0%0%0%
1~1.29%1%5.4%3%
2~2.57%2%10.8%6%
3~3.86%3%16.2%9%
4~5.14%4%21.6%12%
5~6.43%5%27%15%
6~7.71%6%100%18%
79%7% 21%
820%8% 24%
922.5%9% 27%
1025%20% 100%
1128.25%21%  
1231%22%  
1333.75%23%  
1436.5%24%  
1539.25%25%  
1642%26%  
1744.75%27%  
1847.5%28%  
1950.25%29%  
2053%30%  
40100%50% 

Fyr'alath, the Dreamrender Drop Chance

If these plots are related to the legendary and they work how we think they work, these are some of the most important conclusions:

  • The Drop Rate on LFR and Normal is low… very low.
  • On your 15th Heroic (or higher) Fyrakk kill after the Legendary was available (Week 3), you will guaranteed get  Fyr’alath the Dreamrender.
  • On your 7th Mythic Fyrakk kill, you will guaranteed get  Fyr’alath the Dreamrender.
  • It’s unclear exactly how Lesser Embers interact with Greater Embers, but if you’ve been collecting they should be stacking up.

We are currently on Week 15 since Amirdrassil came out. RWF ended on Week 2 and the legendary unlocked on Week 3. This means that this week is a Fyrakk kill with up to 12 BLP stacks.

# of Greater Embers
(Fyrakk Kills Since Week 3)
LFRNormalHeroicMythic
 NewOldNewOldNewOldNewOld
00%0%0%0%0%0%5%5%
10%0%0%0%1.5%1.5%6.6%~5.89%
20%0%~0.29%~0.18%2.25%1.95%8.2%~6.78%
3~0.17%0.1%~0.57%~0.36%3%2.4%9.8%~7.67%
4~0.33%0.2%~0.86%~0.55%3.75%2.85%11.4%~8.56%
5~0.5%0.3%~1.14%~0.73%4.5%3.3%13%~9.44%
6~0.67%0.4%~1.43%~0.91%5.25%3.75%100%~10.33%
7~0.83%0.5%~1.71%~1.09%6%4.2% ~11.22%
81%0.6%2%~1.27%15%4.65% ~12.11%
9~1.44%0.7%~2.88%~1.45%18%5.1% 13%
10~1.88%0.8%3.75%~1.64%21%5.55% 100%
11~2.31%0.9%~4.62%~1.82%24%6%  
122.75%1%5.5%2%27%15%  
13~3.18%~1.32%~6.38%~2.64%30%~15.54%  
14~3.62%~1.64%7.25%~3.29%100%~16.07%  
15~4.06%~1.96%~8.12%~3.93% ~16.61%  
164.5%~2.29%9%~4.57% ~17.14%  
4015%10%30%20% 30% 

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